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Data compiled by Woofun AI from the CME FedWatch tool indicates that market participants assign a 98.5% probability to the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates through June. Conversely, the likelihood of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points during this period stands at a marginal 1.5%.
Looking ahead to July, the probability of the central bank keeping rates unchanged retreats to 91.3%.
Meanwhile, the market prices in a 7.4% chance of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut remains low at 1.4%.