Elon Musk tweet prediction market win rate drops 16 percent to 15.5 percent
2026-06-12 06:45

Data compiled by Woofun AI shows that the 'Yes' option within the '200-219' sub-market on Polymarket experienced significant volatility regarding Elon Musk's tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026. The winning probability retreated sharply from 31.5% just one hour prior to the current level of 15.5%, marking a 16% drop in implied likelihood.

This rapid adjustment in pricing reflects immediate market reaction to breaking news or shifting sentiment surrounding the subject's anticipated social media output. Traders are advised to monitor related developments closely as the probability distribution continues to adjust.

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Tags:
Elon Musk
Polymarket
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