Fed September 25bps Hike Probability Reaches 67.2% Per CME Data

CME FedWatch indicates a 67.2% chance of a 25bps rate hike in September, with October scenarios showing increased volatility expectations for cumulative hikes.

Woofun AI data shows that CME FedWatch probabilities assign a 67.2% likelihood to a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate increase by September, while the chance of rates remaining unchanged stands at 32.8%. For October, the probability of no change drops to 23.3%, with a 57.3% chance of a 25 basis point cumulative hike and a 19.3% chance of a 50 basis point cumulative increase.