Smart Money Bets $1.7k Against Gemini Pro Launch Amid Google AI Restructuring

A smart money trader wagered $1.7k on Polymarket against the release of Google's Gemini Pro this month, shifting odds to 22.7% as key researchers depart.

Woofun AI data shows that a smart money trader placed a $1.7k bet on Polymarket selecting "No" for the question of whether the "Next-Gen Google Gemini Pro" model will be released this month, raising the probability from 18.6% to 22.7%. The account, identified as 0x876bb030ddd424ef505ae02914024cf18c6a1703, has a historical win rate of 43% in AI model release markets, with a median investment of $715 in similar cost ranges.

Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis stepped down to become Chairman and Alphabet's Chief Scientist, while Chief Scientist Jeff Dean and several colleagues are departing to start a new company backed by Google. This follows Noam Shazeer's move to OpenAI in June and John Jumper's departure to Anthropic. Although Gemini 3.5 Pro was expected to launch in June, only Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber was released on July 21, and the official page still lists "coming soon" as of August 6.