Derivatives Weekly Report
Research Theme
Track perpetual contract funding rates, options open interest, liquidation data, and institutional position changes.
3.6WOOFUN ResearchCreated: --Updated: 2026/07/24
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Theme Analysis
AI-generatedWOOFUN AI · Derivatives Weekly Report Theme Overview
AI-generatedThe crypto market experienced a volatile adjustment amid macroeconomic fluctuations this week, with BTC falling 6.4% to $59,700 and ETH underperforming with an 8.3% weekly decline. Derivatives data indicates growing caution as capital rotates across sectors; while trading volumes remain elevated, prices face downward pressure. The market is now awaiting new macro catalysts to break the current consolidation pattern.
Key Judgements
If BTC breaks below the $58,000 support level, it will trigger a cascade of long liquidations in the derivatives market, accelerating a decline toward the $55,000 range.Probability 75%
ETH's weekly decline has widened amid insufficient volume; failing to reclaim $1,600 will likely extend its short-term weak consolidation.Probability 80%
Unless macroeconomic data significantly exceeds expectations, the market will maintain high-volatility oscillations, making a sustained one-sided breakout unlikely.Probability 65%
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