🇺🇸美联储维持利率不变,但三票委罕见反对

美联储7月29日宣布联邦基金利率维持在3.50%-3.75%不变,这是今年第五次按兵不动。但这次投票出现罕见分歧——

克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利、达拉斯联储主席洛根三人投了反对票,都主张直接加息25个基点。这是2016年以来首次有三名票委在同一立场上投反对票。

美联储主席沃什在发布会上说,这次维持不变"不算暂停",而是"对经济形势的严格审查",通胀目标"没有任何软性空间,就是2%"。

他还提到AI相关资本开支过去四个季度增速接近20%,正在推高芯片和AI基础设施价格,但对整体通胀的影响还很难判断。

消息公布后,市场剧烈波动:道指收跌2.19%,创近15个月最大单日跌幅;标普500跌1.52%,纳指跌1.74%;现货黄金一度突破4100美元;30年期美债收益率创2007年以来新高。

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01AI 解读
Confidence 100%
AI Quick Read
美联储维持利率不变但出现罕见鹰派反对票,主席强调通胀目标严格且AI开支推高成本。消息导致美股大跌、美债收益率飙升。市场解读为紧缩预期升温,短期对加密等风险资产构成显著利空压力,波动性加剧。
02Stance & Sentiment Analysis
Confidence 85%
−0.6
−0.6
Bearish −1.0Neutral 0Bullish +1.0
Sentiment Strength+0.7
Conviction+0.8
Technical Depth+0.6
Subjectivity+0.3
Urgency+0.9
Originality+0.4
03Market Impact Attribution
BTCETHXAU
美股大幅下跌,美债收益率创历史新高,黄金冲高。风险资产情绪恶化,加密市场短期承压。
BTC / ETH / XAU price action around tweet
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04KOLs with Similar Opinions
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Donald J. Trump
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A very Happy Thanksgiving salutation to all of our Great American Citizens and Patriots who have been so nice in allowing our Country to be divided, disrupted, carved up, murdered, beaten, mugged, and laughed at, along with certain other foolish countries throughout the World, for being “Politically Correct,” and just plain STUPID, when it comes to Immigration. The official United States Foreign population stands at 53 million people (Census), most of which are on welfare, from failed nations, or from prisons, mental institutions, gangs, or drug cartels. They and their children are supported through massive payments from Patriotic American Citizens who, because of their beautiful hearts, do not want to openly complain or cause trouble in any way, shape, or form. They put up with what has happened to our Country, but it’s eating them alive to do so! A migrant earning $30,000 with a green card will get roughly $50,000 in yearly benefits for their family. The real migrant population is much higher. This refugee burden is the leading cause of social dysfunction in America, something that did not exist after World War II (Failed schools, high crime, urban decay, overcrowded hospitals, housing shortages, and large deficits, etc.). As an example, hundreds of thousands of refugees from Somalia are completely taking over the once great State of Minnesota. Somalian gangs are roving the streets looking for “prey” as our wonderful people stay locked in their apartments and houses hoping against hope that they will be left alone. The seriously retarded Governor of Minnesota, Tim Walz, does nothing, either through fear, incompetence, or both, while the worst “Congressman/woman” in our Country, Ilhan Omar, always wrapped in her swaddling hijab, and who probably came into the U.S.A. illegally in that you are not allowed to marry your brother, does nothing but hatefully complain about our Country, its Constitution, and how “badly” she is treated, when her place of origin is a decadent, backward, and crime ridden nation, which is essentially not even a country for lack of Government, Military, Police, schools, etc. Even as we have progressed technologically, Immigration Policy has eroded those gains and living conditions for many. I will permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries to allow the U.S. system to fully recover, terminate all of the millions of Biden illegal admissions, including those signed by Sleepy Joe Biden’s Autopen, and remove anyone who is not a net asset to the United States, or is incapable of loving our Country, end all Federal benefits and subsidies to noncitizens of our Country, denaturalize migrants who undermine domestic tranquility, and deport any Foreign National who is a public charge, security risk, or non-compatible with Western Civilization. These goals will be pursued with the aim of achieving a major reduction in illegal and disruptive populations, including those admitted through an unauthorized and illegal Autopen approval process. Only REVERSE MIGRATION can fully cure this situation. Other than that, HAPPY THANKSGIVING TO ALL, except those that hate, steal, murder, and destroy everything that America stands for — You won’t be here for long!
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This is textbook corruption. t.co/AS1pHNx91Z
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Too many white men were supporting their families by driving trucks, so of course our leaders had to end that by importing unqualified foreigners. A lot of people have died in the process. Gord Magill is a trucker who saw it happen. 0:00 The Last American Cowboys and the War on Truckers 6:14 The Attempt to Replace American Workers With Foreigners 13:46 The Life of a Long-Haul Trucker 21:25 The Dangers of Truck Driving 24:59 The Human Trafficking Routes 33:05 Magill’s Most Dangerous Experiences While Trucking 36:42 How Did Magill Learn All of This? 39:23 The Freight Crisis 40:21 Is Trump Working on Fixing the Trucking Industry? 48:41 The Exploitation of the Electronic Logging Device 50:54 The ALP Heist 59:30 The Fight in Washington to Fix the Trucking Industry 1:02:19 How Do Truckers Entertain Themselves? 1:02:42 What’s Going on in Canada?
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talk the talk but didn't walk the walk
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