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Woofun AI reports that a resurgence in Bitcoin market activity is projected to commence in 2028, aligning with the asset’s entrenched four-year cyclical behavior as highlighted by Watcher.Guru and reinforced by Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge Capital.
The structural integrity of this cycle is evidenced by Bitcoin’s repeated pattern of reaching new all-time highs followed by significant corrections. Historical data confirms that BTC achieved these peaks in 2017, 2021, and most recently in 2025, each instance marking the culmination of a multi-year expansion phase before entering a downturn. This consistency has established the four-year model as a primary analytical tool for forecasting market trajectories, despite the inherent volatility of the asset class.
Woofun AI data shows that current bearish pressures are driven by a distinct shift in investor sentiment following the 2025 peak. In late 2025, capital flows redirected from high-risk cryptocurrencies toward traditional safe havens such as gold. This migration was catalyzed by heightened concerns regarding inflation, uncertain interest rate policy, and broader global instability, creating a risk-off environment that suppressed crypto valuations.
A more critical variable exacerbating the downturn is the liquidity squeeze generated by anticipation surrounding the SpaceX (SPCX) initial public offering. The expectation of capital absorption into this major tech event created downward pressure on crypto prices, illustrating how external equity market dynamics can disrupt digital asset liquidity.
Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, maintains that the four-year cycle remains a valid predictive framework. He posits that if historical patterns persist, Bitcoin’s next all-time high will materialize around 2029. Given that bull markets typically initiate approximately one year before the peak, Scaramucci identifies 2028 as the probable start of the next rally phase.
This timeline is corroborated by detailed historical alignment. The 2017 peak was preceded by a bull run that began in late 2016, while the 2021 high followed a rally that started in late 2020. Similarly, the 2025 peak adhered to this structure, with the market bottoming in late 2022 and commencing its ascent in early 2023, demonstrating remarkable temporal symmetry across cycles.
For institutional investors and long-term holders, the cycle offers a strategic basis for positioning, though risks remain substantial. External factors including regulatory changes, technological developments, and macroeconomic conditions could alter the cycle’s timing or magnitude. While short-term volatility persists, the pattern suggests patience may yield rewards, provided investors employ a diversified strategy and avoid reacting to daily price fluctuations.