#康州起诉Kalshi 预测市场监管博弈

Land of the Free, meet leveraged crypto trading. Kalshi perps: go long or short on BTC and top coins, fully regulated, zero wallet required. And as a bonus for using my link, Kalshi is offering $25 after you trade $50 or more. Thanks to Kalshi for sponsoring this post. Link in the next one#ads

Last bear market, we saw countless people make it out of the trenches farming airdrops. I think one people are potentially sleeping on is KALSHI. Have no idea whether or not they ever do it - but with getting perps approved in the US, they've already made steps nobody was able to do before them. They're one of the fastest growing companies in the world and don't show any signs of slowing down. In the same way we saw people print farming things like$HYPE, if you trade perps - I think it's worth it to take a stab and try a bit of volume there. The insane part is they're literally paying you to do it. You can get $25 free for just trading $50. So worst case even if there is no "airdrop" you kind of already get one for literally just trying it out. Give it a shot here ➡️kalshi.com/p/kaleo

master class in execution over the past year by kalshi

Thanks for using my affiliate link: https://t.co/SHC4NiGdBe

No date tonight? The charts don't cancel on you. Kalshi perps: long or short BTC and the majors. Fully regulated. No wallet. No excuses. And as a bonus for using my link, Kalshi is offering $25 after you trade $50 or more. Link in the next post 👇 #ad https://t.co/z1KaqaBkyC

A lot of Dems are upset at this federal order from the CFTC telling Kalshi to ignore a state order, because of their personal views of prediction markets. But this is important, as established federal authority is a matter for Congress and SCOTUS. Just like we don’t want Texas to get to decide if HHS or FDA policy on abortion pills is legal in the state. You cannot cede federal authority even on issues you don’t agree with. It is an all or nothing precedent. If New York thinks the CFTC is wrong, they must deal with it in the Supreme Court and nowhere else.

Kalshi x DoubleZero Two of my favorite things!

Prediction markets have become critical financial infrastructure, so we decided to treat them like that. Announcing low latency Kalshi order book data on @DoubleZero Edge - the fastest feed of what's happening on @Kalshi.

This is MASSIVE… For what is the FIRST TIME EVER… Retail, will have the same speed of information as traditional finance. Kalshi is now live on DoubleZero Edge with real-time prediction market data. Full L2 order book depth for sports and crypto perps. Top of book and trades (L1) too. Every market, updated live, delivered over dedicated fiber at institutional speeds. Here is what is actually changing. The gap between how institutions trade prediction markets and how everyone else does has always been about infrastructure. Hedge Funds and Investment Firms that wanted a clean, machine-readable view of a prediction market had to build it themselves. > Assemble book state from API responses. > Run their own servers. That is a real engineering lift, and it kept most of this edge with desks that had the resources to do it. DoubleZero is closing that gap. This gap, that's now closer for retail and trad-fi now more than ever, takes the same institutional-grade data Kalshi gives its fastest participants and delivers it over dedicated fiber with multicast routing instead of the public internet. The source is as fast as it gets. The transport is where DoubleZero pulls ahead. && what that unlocks in practice… > quantitative desks, market makers, and prop traders get a production-ready market data path for pricing, hedging, and signal generation without building anything from scratch.. For crypto traders specifically, low-latency access to Kalshi's crypto perps order book means faster, cleaner signal. You are working with the same depth of data institutional desks have had, without the large contracts that used to gate it. Kalshi is also the first regulated, non-crypto venue on DoubleZero Edge. That is a signal in itself about where prediction markets are heading. This is not a niche infrastructure announcement. Prediction markets are becoming financial infrastructure. The same way Bloomberg terminals and institutional data feeds became standard in traditional finance, the pipes are getting built for prediction markets right now. DoubleZero is building them.

🇺🇸 ALERT: New York City Council has opened a probe into Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase and Gemini over alleged deceptive prediction market marketing targeting young adults.

Kalshi 预测市场翻车：威斯康星州长初选给 95% 胜率候选人爆冷落败，引发预测市场可信度争议 据记者@atrupar，预测市场平台 Kalshi 在威斯康星州民主党州长初选当天给出赔率：Francesca Hong 95%、David Crowley 5%。但实际结果是 David Crowley 以 0.4% 的极微弱优势（39.8% 对 39.4%）逆袭获胜。 Rupar 转发评论："预测市场没有预测性，不应被当作新闻报道。"从而引发大量争议： 有人指出"新闻机构与赌博公司'合作'推广收费"；也有人嘲讽"Rupar 发现 5% 不等于 0%"； 反驳声音则称"民调在威斯康星也全错了，那民调也不该报道吗？"

ATTENTION: US traders, you can finally trade perps legally. Kalshi just launched leveraged perpetual contracts on Bitcoin and top cryptos. Long or short, no wallet, no offshore workarounds needed. Sign up with my link, trade $50+, get $25 free.

MARKETS: Prediction markets are becoming core financial infrastructure. @Austin_Federa joins Markets Outlook to break down @DoubleZero’s work with @Kalshi, why Wall Street-grade infrastructure is coming to new finance, and what it will take to build faster, more reliable and more accessible markets. Watch the full conversation with @jennsanasie below 👇 00:00 - Austin Federa Joins Markets Outlook 00:43 - DoubleZero x Kalshi: Inside the Announcement 02:30 - Why Wall Street Infrastructure Took So Long to Reach Crypto 04:36 - Brand New Rails: Tokenizing the $2 Trillion Shipping Industry 07:13 - Does Faster Data Hurt Retail Traders? 08:16 - Prediction Markets: More Than a Narrative 10:31 - Access, Disruption, and Federa's 2017 Thesis 12:13 - The Catalyst to Watch 13:11 - New Finance's Biggest Challenge

COINDESK DAILY: Kalshi is in talks to raise $750M at a $40B valuation, Delio CEO gets 15 years in prison for a $50 million fraud, and Metaplanet launches a new bitcoin-backed bond program.@JennSanasiehas what you need to know.

🇺🇸 JUST IN: A judge orders Kalshi to stop offering most prediction market contracts in Washington state, ruling they likely constitute illegal gambling. https://t.co/PHoJaOgrPa

💰 Kalshi is reportedly in advanced talks with Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management for a $750M round at a $40 billion valuation — nearly double its May price tag.

RIP to your unregulated, off-shore perps exchange. Kalshi's LEGAL perps now offer Americans up to 6.1X leverage. Long / short BTC and other top cryptos without ever holding the underlying token.

Kalshi was worth $22 billion in May. Now it is in talks at $40 billion. Three months.

Offshore perps exchanges? Obsolete. Kalshi just dropped LEGAL crypto perps for Americans, up to 6.1X leverage. Long or short BTC and top cryptos. No token, no borders, no BS. https://t.co/QwcaMXMvNO

⚡️ TODAY: Kalshi files with the CFTC to launch equity index perpetual futures, letting traders take leveraged long or short positions on major indexes without owning the underlying shares. https://t.co/Jpj8FmE04q

Kalshi has cut off its own users in Washington state while it fights a court order. A judge rules on September 2. Miss that deadline and the fine is 120,000 dollars a day.

Kalshi's trajectory has been very impressive. Volume has grown 8x since July, to more than $1B per week. Congrats to the team, we're excited to double down on our investment.

Stop risking funds on sketchy offshore exchanges. Kalshi just launched legal crypto perps for US traders with up to 6.1x leverage. Long or short BTC and top assets 100% onshore and CFTC-regulated Grab a $25 bonus when you trade $50+ using my link in the next post. https://t.co/0wLI0VSBIh